Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.232994 3.191839e-01 0.420855 0.547537 0.699037 0.872368 1.083572
2025-12-28 0.120631 2.177393e-01 0.353122 0.545716 0.802744 1.124479 1.547785
2026-01-04 0.060002 1.496511e-01 0.299149 0.540317 0.894101 1.369966 2.033286
2026-01-11 0.025921 9.808426e-02 0.246006 0.517119 0.951351 1.573145 2.482380
2026-01-18 0.010054 6.503115e-02 0.206759 0.500876 1.010464 1.779779 2.949251
2026-01-25 0.003648 4.586510e-02 0.183590 0.503334 1.095004 2.026725 3.486164
2026-02-01 0.000732 2.889458e-02 0.153451 0.481824 1.133078 2.203182 3.929310
2026-02-08 0.000142 2.213684e-02 0.146335 0.504933 1.250006 2.508418 4.576293
2026-02-15 0.000002 1.510964e-02 0.131689 0.505999 1.324747 2.748988 5.135461
2026-02-22 NaN 1.280149e-02 0.133641 0.547447 1.479967 3.129394 5.923375
2026-03-01 NaN 9.900099e-03 0.129691 0.572265 1.603964 3.463057 6.650116
2026-03-08 NaN 6.756525e-03 0.119692 0.577474 1.687792 3.731614 7.283114
2026-03-15 NaN 3.870898e-03 0.104997 0.565508 1.736624 3.946497 7.846660
2026-03-22 NaN 2.477261e-03 0.098251 0.575971 1.834591 4.252923 8.568950
2026-03-29 NaN 1.376485e-03 0.089510 0.576741 1.910611 4.523232 9.241018
2026-04-05 NaN 5.215641e-04 0.076186 0.555647 1.933596 4.697411 9.760142
2026-04-12 NaN 1.546373e-04 0.065691 0.540175 1.966943 4.891050 10.316450
2026-04-19 NaN 4.446261e-05 0.060339 0.543606 2.046000 5.173320 11.028961
2026-04-26 NaN 1.244406e-06 0.050445 0.521306 2.057505 5.326445 11.526076
2026-05-03 NaN 3.237509e-08 0.050189 0.545952 2.191949 5.722164 12.447644
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.045801 0.547193 2.264743 5.999840 13.172253
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.048919 0.591033 2.454918 6.514801 14.318060
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.048919 0.617254 2.599072 6.942573 15.320274